We visit Goodwood for all three previews today and begin by taking in a class five handicap over eleven furlongs, looking no further than last years’ winner Manomine. The only previous course and distance winner in the field, Manomine is just 2lbs higher than last year and although his form doesn’t look too inspiring he has been running in higher grades and drops back down today. A break of around eight months shouldn’t prove to be a problem as he ran a close second on his re-appearance from a similar break last year.
No Win No Fee is of interest as he has dropped down to his last winning mark and makes his first start for Dr Richard Newland. However I think he is worth taking on as this is his first attempt over eleven furlongs and jockey Tom Queally has a poor record here at Goodwood with just one win from twenty eight attempts.
The biggest danger looks to be Eton Rambler who has been competing over slightly further than todays’ trip but has a strike rate in excess of 45% for first three finishes on turf and could run a decent race under Adam Kirby.
Manomine (E/W if 9/2+)
Excilly arrives here looking for a hat-trick of wins and boasts an impressive record of two wins and two close seconds from four runs on turf. Her latest win was over todays’ trip where she had Three Gracez almost a length behind, a filly who had won her last three over seven furlongs.
Aqua Ardens notched up four wins in a row last summer and returns from a six month break for todays’ race. He has run well after a similar break previously but he is passed over today as he was well beaten off his current mark when last seen.
Nigels Destiny is forecast to be close to the head of the market and has been running well in defeat recently but with another 1lbs rise and Tom Queally on board (see previous preview) I feel he will be racing for minor honours at best.
Donncha is 4lbs lower than his last winning mark if you take in to account jockey Tom Marquand’s claim and is perhaps the biggest danger to our selection. He has been racing over a mile but shouldn’t be inconvenienced by this drop in trip.
Excilly (E/W if 9/2+)
Our final selection is Easy Tiger who is the only previous distance winner in the field having won two from two over seven furlongs and will appreciate the drop back after fading in the final furlong over a mile at Ascot last time out. This will only be his second run on turf (both wins came on the all-weather) but the manner of his run at Ascot suggests there should be more to come over this shorter trip.
Bushephalus looks likely to head the market, taking a step up in trip after placing in his last two outings over six furlongs. The extra furlong could bring about improvement but having been beaten by over three lengths last time out and two lengths the time before I would prefer to see him over this trip before parting with my money.
Guiding Light could be the each way play in this race and looks to be the most likely challenger to our selection. He has finished third in a higher grade over todays’ trip and is the equivalent of 9lbs lower than that race taking in to account Kieran Shoemark’s claim.
Easy Tiger (E/W if 9/2+)