Gabrial’s Wawa has been in great form since dropping back to six furlongs, winning twice and finishing a close second twice. He lost out to Skinny Love by half a length last time out but has only been raised 1lb and Skinny Love has gone on to win again since. Black Dave, who finished third in that race, has also gone on to place again since so the form holds up well.
The most likely danger to the selection is Sewn Up who has a strong recent record here at Wolves. His last three runs here over todays’ trip have resulted in a win and two placed efforts, however with only four wins from thirty nine runs over six furlongs his win rate is only 10% and he often seems to find one too good.
Point North returned from a two month break to beat the aforementioned Sewn Up over course and distance in December and returns here on the back of a similar break. He is 2lbs higher for that victory and is not guaranteed to follow up today having raced off this mark in October but only managing to finish in tenth, nine lengths behind the winner.
Gabrial’s Wawa (WIN)
Lucky Lodge is the early favourite and commands plenty of respect arriving here looking to make it four wins in a row. Two of these wins came over track and trip, swooping late on both occasions to lead in the final few strides. This type of run is great when it works but a further 3lbs rise will make it a little more difficult today.
Boogangoo has only finished outside the first three places in one of her last seven runs and her last win came over course and distance in December. Although 4lbs higher today she is re-united with jockey Joe Fanning who has a 100% strike rate for top three finishes when riding for Grace Harris.
Ortac Rock and Gigawatt are both proven over track and trip and could also figure here, both arriving with recent wins to their name, although both have been beaten since those respective wins.
Don’t Call Me Oscar has won three in a row since Boxing Day and despite a big rise in the weights he still looks like there more to come. Two of those wins came over todays’ trip and given that the majority of the opposition are unproven over sixteen furlongs he should be able to defy the increase in weight and notch up a four-timer.
Perhaps the biggest danger is Zero Visibility who does have form over sixteen furlongs and has won two from his last four races over hurdles. With a career strike rate of 33% for top two finishes he looks the most likely to benefit should the weight burden prove too much for Don’t Call Me Oscar.
Bobby Dove has had three consecutive decent placed efforts sandwiched between two efforts where he was pulled up approaching the last. He has only one career win to his name but still looks to be the best of the remaining field.
Don’t Call Me Oscar (WIN)