13:50 Haydock Dee Ex Bee was heavily supported in the Acomb Stakes at York last month but put in a disappointing performance and has a bit to prove now. Its too early to write him off, however at the forecasted prices i’m happy to take him on. Dark Acclaim won by almost four lengths on soft ground last time out and although that was over a furlong shorter than he encounters today he wasn’t stopping at the line so the extra distance shouldn’t be an issue. Add to that the fact that second and third from that race have won since and stall one has produced four of the last ten winners of this race the Marco Botti two year old looks the one to be on today. Dark Acclaim (WIN) – NAP
14:05 Kempton Sir Michael Stoute won this race with Arab Spring last year and sends Midterm in an attempt to win the race again. An impressive winner last time out he looks to be a live danger, however with no victories in four over the trip and racing on an artificial surface for the first time today there is enough doubt for me to look elsewhere. Chemical Charge has a good record when racing on a polytrack and has only failed to make the frame in one from eight over twelve furlongs. A winner last time out and a solid third in the Hardwicke before that makes him a worthy favourite. Chemical Charge (WIN)
14:25 Haydock This looks to be a great renewal with a number in with realistic chances. Harry Angel will no doubt be popular with many following victory in the July Cup where he finished ahead of a number of today’s rivals and gave Caravaggio his first taste of defeat. However, with plenty of rain forecast prior to race time we could be looking at soft or even heavy ground at the off and for this reason I think the early favourite could prove vulnerable. Given the expected conditions I have this race between Brando and Tasleet. Both are proven over six furlongs, both have won on soft ground and both have won at Group level. Tasleet is better than his last showing and perfectly capable of bouncing back but Brando is preferred as he brings the better form in to this race having finished third in the July Cup and following up with victory in the Maurice De Gheest. Brando (WIN)
14:45 Ascot Lualiwa has won three from six this season and should appreciate the step back up to seven furlongs having been beaten in to second over a furlong shorter at Ascot last month. The forecast ground should suit and David Egan’s 3lbs claim could further help his cause today. Raising Sand was backed in from 20/1 to 10/1 last time out and made no mistake, finishing strongly to win by two lengths, and is now unbeaten in two at the course. He’s got more on his plate this time around but with the yard still in decent form he is capable of sneaking a place. Shady Mccoy is back down to his last winning mark and has soft ground form but would need to improve on recent runs, while Mjjack was an excellent second over course and distance last time out and has winning form on soft and heavy ground so would also enter calculations given the forecast conditions. Lualiwa (E/W)
15:00 Haydock A winner of his last three races (the last in a dead heat), Holmeswood brings the best form in to the race and it would be no surprise to see another bold bid for victory. That said, another rise in the weights means he may have to settle for minor honours today. Soie D’Leau won this race last year in soft ground off a 3lbs higher mark so has obvious claims if reproducing a run to that standard, however is yet to win this season and finished last of twelve last time out so may struggle today. Copper Knight has disappointed following an excellent third in the Scurry Stakes in June but has won on ground with some cut, has been eased a little in the weights and his trainer has won this race twice in recent years so looks worthy of an each way shot at expected bigger odds. Tim Easterby also runs Confessional and Midnight Malibu and with both having decent records over course and distance they are also considered for each way purposes. Copper Knight (E/W)
15:15 Kempton Half of the last ten renewals have been won by horses with a winning SP of 20/1 or above, although eight of the last ten winners were aged four which may help to narrow it down somewhat. The early favourite is Commodity who has won three from five over a mile, including once here at Kempton, although could only manage third last time out and has a further 1lbs rise to contend with. Chiefofchiefs is a course and distance winner on only previous run on an artificial surface and is another who should go well, however given the competitive nature of the race i’m hoping to find a bit more value. Ripoll is unbeaten in two over course and distance and should appreciate the return to an all-weather surface having been beaten in a couple of races on turf in recent months. Trainer Sylvestre Kirk has had a couple of winners in recent weeks and has a decent record at at the course so his four year old is a tentative selection at an expected decent price. Ripoll (E/W)
15:35 Haydock Morando was given too much to do when fourth in a Group 3 last time out but finished strongly and has winning form on good-to-soft ground so could get closer today. Ballet Concerto has won his last two and has made the frame in all seven runs over a mile (winning four). He was only a head away from victory on soft ground last year and has also won over further than he encounters here so with stamina expected to come in to play it would be a surprise if he wasn’t in with a chance at the business end. Sovereign Debt notched up a hat-trick earlier in the year and won on soft ground earlier in his career while Saeed Bin Suroor has his stable in excellent form so Benbatl, a winner of a Group 3 over ten furlongs on penultimate run, could also prove a danger if handling the expected softer conditions. Ballet Concerto (WIN)
15:55 Ascot Mam’selle arrives in top form having won three from four and with all victories coming on good-to-soft or soft ground the forecast conditions should be again in her favour. Today is another step up in class but most rivals either haven’t proved consistent at this level or also attempting tougher races so the William Haggas trained three year old looks to have a great chance of notching a hat-trick of victories. Glenys The Menace didn’t seem to stay the trip at York last time out but had previously won over course and distance on rain-softened ground and has to enter calculations, while Cape Coast, Londinium and Seafarer are others who can make their presence felt in a tough looking handicap. Mam’selle (E/W) Glenys The Menace (E/W)
16:10 Haydock The final live race of the day looks a tough one to decipher with seven of the last ten winners returning at odds of 10/1 or above.That said, Sepal has won her last three, defying a 12lbs penalty on soft ground and still winning in commanding fashion by over three lengths last time out. She has been hit with another 10lbs for that but with soft ground posing no issues and arriving in such good form she looks difficult to oppose. Jaameh has winning form at the course, is proven over the trip and has also won on heavy ground so although doesn’t arrive in the best of form may be worth an each way play if by this time the ground has gone against most of his rivals. Sepal (WIN)
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