13:50 Doncaster This probably revolves around whether Richard Fahey’s Birchwood is straight enough first time up and whether he can recapture his best form from last year. A winner at Group2 level as a two year old he looked on good terms with himself when winning a Listed race at Chester last season and a repeat may suffice, he is however a tricky in and out type but Fahey usually starts the season well and he is probably worth risking. Mobsta won this last season and won a Group2 later in the year at the Curragh, he looks sure to run his race and is respected but the ground may not be soft enough. Absolutely So and Nameitwhatyoulike have claims if fully revved up and outsider Captain Colby is interesting though seemingly up against it on this ground. Birchwood (WIN)
14:05 Kempton The admirably tough and consistent Fire Fighting looks sure to come on for his recent spin around Dundalk and though it was slightly disappointing he didn’t manage to hang on that day he seems to love it here and is the one to beat given his record here. Linguistic returns from a lengthy absence and will probably go off favourite, unexposed and hailing from the masterful Gosden yard he must prove he is over whatever went wrong at Royal Ascot last season but he makes plenty of appeal despite having to prove he handles the surface. Absolute Blast is improving and just failed in a Group3 at Lingfield last time, a clear all weather specialist she wont lack for fitness but this is a deep test for her. Sovereign Debt barely knows how to run a bad race, proven on artificial surfaces it would be foolish to dismiss his chances but the trip is a worry against these proven types. The rest are difficult to fancy though Poeta Diletto had some serious form in Italy and maybe the one to take out of this, all things considered though Fire Fighting can continue Johnston’s good start to the season and add another win around here to his name. Fire Fighting (WIN)
14:25 Doncaster Another desperately difficult race to decipher and another Gosden inmate re-appearing from a mammoth absence, sprinkle in a couple all weather winners and a challenger from the Stoute yard and you realise you’ve stumbled onto a minefield. Sacred Act is the aforementioned Gosden inmate and his 499 day absence has to be a concern, despite this he looked smart when quickening up nicely when winning at Sandown and arrives here as the possible group horse masquerading as a handicapper. Nimr has been progressing nicely on the all weather and will be fit enough, he could have turned a serious corner but his price doesn’t reflect his known ability on the turf and as such he is dismissed with a heavy heart on the grounds of value. Lord Of The Rock caused an upset when winning this last term, he could again run well but he lost the plot after that success and this looks a tougher test 12 months on. Mutarakez could be the outsider to respect and has won here before, again however he is in and out and couldn’t be trusted. Ballet Concerto has been gelded and is the stereotypical type Stoute usually finds more with, he makes plenty of appeal but his 5lbs penalty here looks excessive. Examiner won at Epsom last term off a 1lbs lower mark and usually turns up in good heats, he is taken to place given his odds and though I dislike giving two Sacred Act simply demands a play for win purposes. Examiner (E/W) Sacred Art (WIN)
14:40 Kempton Justice Good might not be on a great mark but he has been contesting better races than this since last winning in handicap company and is straight forward tipped to run into at least a place. David Elsworth hasn’t sent out plenty of horses in the last few weeks but his 1-3 in the last 14 days suggests his horses are at least going well and with solid form in the book over elaborating is pointless. Dutch Golden Age is hard to weigh up but is a winner here and looks a likely improver this term, the strength of his last victory makes little sense for him to go off favourite here but his hard know how to land a touch and he has been backed. Dougan is tough and a winner at the trip, his draw in nine makes like tough here but he wants considering. Memories Galore and Go Far are others to appeal but you could go on forever in this and still get it wrong so small stakes look the sensible way forwards. Justice Good (E/W if 9/2+)
15:00 Doncaster Depending on how things have gone so far this is yet another desperately tough affair but Tullius stands out strongly given his record when fresh and the fact he won a Group3 last term. Tipped up by me at 25/1 on his last run at Ascot last season he finished a disappointing-looking 14th though he looked certain to at least place before Lincoln favourite Yuften butchered him in the run and compensation awaits if he’s over that incident. Crazy Horse is another Gosden challenger on the day who looks a type to improve greatly this term and his clearly goes well fresh. Stormy Atlantic and Custom Cut are others who could play big parts but everything crossed Tullius will prove good enough. Tullius (E/W) – NAP
15:15 Kempton Big Country hosed up in a Wolverhampton Maiden last month and must be well thought of to be pitched straight into this type of company, obviously unexposed and with the assistance of De Sousa he looks the type to follow up and is taken to do just that despite his tricky looking draw. Final and Prince Of Arran have some good looking form figures on the all weather and need to be respected, if pushed the latter makes more appeal on the strength of his good 4th in a Listed race here last time. Noble Gift has something to find with Prince Of Arran but he won this last term and has a good draw to work from today, he looks the most likely of the outsiders but this might take some winning. Big Country (WIN)
15:35 Doncaster This seasons renewal of the Lincoln looks as tricky as ever, coincidently the trickiest type in the race also arrives here as the favourite in Yuften. Likely to come on for his recent spin around Wolverhampton her arrives here as the likeliest to move on to better things and his victory at Ascot last season was very impressive despite him being wayward towards the end. Roger Charlton’s 6 year old has to go close if putting his best foot forwards and is clearly the one to beat, his wayward style however is off-putting here and given he cant be backed each way he is taken on. Gabrial is another who has his own mind but he won the 2015 renewal of this and won the only other race he’s had here. Top claimer Adam McNamara takes the ride and he could outrun his massive odds, on that score he is afforded a chance to run into the money. Zhui Feng might be well handicapper and ran a cracker when 4th in the Winter Derby, this trip poses a serious question of his pace but if they go quick enough its hard to see him not running on strongly. Top Notch Tonto is a grand servant and would be a most popular winner of this, with countless pieces of quality form to his name he almost screams to be backed but younger legs are a worry. Donncha, On This Is Us and Bravery are others with claims but Zhui Feng and Gabrial offer decent value in an open contest. Gabrial (E/W) Zhui Feng (E/W)
Comments