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TUESDAY FLAT RACING TIPS

14:05 Catterick


My first of a trio of tips from Catterick this Tuesday is a horse who hasn’t entered the winners enclosure in his last 27 starts. Furthermore, despite a racing career that spans a total of 68 starts he’s never stepped foot on to the course here at Catterick. So “why?”, I hear you ask, am I siding with a runner with such credentials? Despite his perceived misgivings it’s easy to forget that Afandem is a former Group 3 and Listed race winner in his day. Of course he’s not at the same level he was in his hay day but prior to his last outing he’d never competed at this level (Class 6) so a drop to this grade should be of benefit. He can also put his last performance down to a poor start where his chance was blown from the outset. He’s been woeful of late but his best performances this season have come at Chester and the nearby Carlisle. Chester is as equally tight as Catterick and although this is over a straight 5 furlongs you can draw a few similarities between tracks. It’d be foolish to be overly bullish but I just think if he can find any of his better form he should be able to dominate a race like this.


The one I fear most is the Charlie Fellowes trained Cable Guy. In his entire training career Fellowes has only ever sent three horses up to Catterick and he holds a 33% strike rate from those previous entrants. He also seems to have his yard flying with three winners from his last fifteen runners. Add to that an additional four placed finishers and clearly he’s having a great end to the 2021 campaign. He’s another at a big price that may look overpriced come the finishing line.


AFANDEM (E/W)



 

15:15 Catterick


Five year old Shallow Hal has missed the majority of the season having not raced from May until last month. It’s fair to say that near 130 day absence did him no favours when 20th in the Ayr Silver Cup last time out. That being said, for his last seven starts he’s competed at a higher level so this should be a welcome return to Class 4 company. As with my previous selection he’s never tackled Catterick before but I’m not overly perturbed by that as his top-class trainer Karl Burke has his third most winning strike rate from any course here. It’s also Burke’s sole runner on the card which may also be a good indication as to his chances. Paul Mulrennan gets the leg up which bodes well and despite showing little over this trip his current price (at the time of writing) of 22/1 seems way too generous to ignore.


Queen’s Sargent and Jill Rose are former course winners who aim to make it back to back victories and the very consistent Obee Jo is sure to run yet another solid race.


SHALLOW HAL (E/W)



 

16:05 Curragh


A sixteen runner sprint handicap is the only race I cover from Ireland today and I see myself siding with one of the four former course victors.


Mister Trader returned from a huge 393 day layoff and produced a solid enough middling position. There’s no doubt the seven year old will improve markedly for that performance, especially when it comes to fitness. Another huge plus is having veteran jockey Kevin Manning booked for the ride. With a decent course record of one win and two places from five starts he clearly likes these conditions and it’s also worth pointing out one of those placed performances came in an ultra-competitive listed race. At double figure odds he looks worth an each way punt.


Another I cannot shake off is the thought that Eddie Lynam’s Teddy Boy is surely going to take a win before the season is over. He’s a consistent type who’s gone close a handful of times this term without getting his head in front. He’s been a tad unlucky on occasion and if he finds luck on his side this afternoon he deserves a win. He clearly has enough in his locker to claim a race like this and shouldn’t be far away once more.


Of the rest you obviously have to mention two other very consistent types in the form of a duo at the top of the card. Gegenpressing and Earls have top ridders to accompany them and both have been knocking on the door of success recently.


Another worth mentioning is Clara’s Approach. The three year old won three starts back and also claimed a solid third last time out. At her age she has plenty of room for progression and looks a tad overpriced at current double figure odds.


MISTER TRADER (E/W)

TEDDY BOY (E/W)

 

16:55 Catterick


The final race on the eight race card from Catterick is where you’ll see my final selection line up. Once again I find myself siding with a horse who’s never tasted success at the course but despite his lack of trips to the winners enclosure Stronsay has been mightily close on numerous occasions. Of the nine times he’s raced here before he’s only ever finished outside of the top four twice and those two efforts came over a longer trip. He’s not the most prolific but is finally back to his last winning mark and should have conditions to suit.


As the only course winner in the line up current favourite Rain Cap demands the upmost respect and three year old Dandy’s Max seems to be on an upward trajectory that should see him mount a serious challenge.


If Royal Guard can transfer his all-weather form to the turf he could also play a part in proceedings.


STRONSAY (E/W)




written by Rory Paddock

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