Nigel Twiston-Davies has sent six hurdlers to Carlisle in the last three years and has emerged with five winners for an 83% winning strike rate. He looks to have a great chance of enhancing that record even further today with One For Rosie who beat a subsequent winner (Glen Forsa) in commanding fashion last month, travelling noticeably stronger than rivals and having enough left in the tank to win going away despite a clumsy jump at the last. He should be capable of defying his penalty based on that evidence and can give his trainer another victory at a course he does so well at.
Donald McCain Jnr has had five winners from his last twelve runners so the main danger looks to be First Account who was a solid third behind two subsequent winners on hurdles debut – one being Al Dancer who was a very impressive winner at Cheltenham on Friday. A winner over three miles in a point-to-point, he should improve for the step up in trip and can follow home our selection.
One For Rosie (WIN) – NAP