Bathos is looking to complete a hat-trick of wins after recent successes over seven and eight furlongs last month, beating some useful looking types in the process. His last success was over todays’ trip on good-to-soft ground so he looks to have a great chance of adding another winner to his tally.
Martini Time returns from a short break having disappointed at Goodwood in July but won twice prior to that, albeit over six and seven furlongs respectively, while Bay Mirage also steps up in trip after a recent second over seven furlongs and could be in with a chance if staying the extra furlong. However the most likely danger looks to be Henry The Explorer who was a close second at Doncaster early last month before finding life tough in a Listed race over at Deauville recently. He should have learnt a fair bit from that race and could make the frame now back down in class.
Cruise Tothelimit won this race last year and is 8lbs better off today but has moved yards since and his recent form leaves a lot to be desired.
Be Lucky won last time out and has won three from his last six but competes today of a career high mark of 80. She is obviously in good form but looks more likely to be competing for minor honours.
Coiste Bodhar was an impressive four length winner here at Thirsk over five furlongs last time out and is effectively only 3lbs higher today when taking in to account the extra claim by jockey Adam McLean. At current each way odds he has to be considered, even more so if there is any rain around between now and race time but preference is for Mon Brav.
Mon Brav won a strong looking class 4 handicap at York in July and only went down by a head when last seen at Newmarket last month. Both these recent runs were on good-to-firm ground but he has also won previously on soft and good-to-soft so shouldn’t be inconvenienced whatever the weather and looks the most likely to maintain his recent form.
Mon Brav (E/W if 9/2+)
New Strategy was a course and distance winner on his first run on the polytrack and, like our selection in the previous race arrives here looking to make it three career wins in a row. A 4lbs rise looks fair considering his manner of victory last time out and with the Godolphin team having a fantastic strike rate of 34.18% on all-weather surfaces in the last twelve months he has to be the selection here.
Jacquotte Delahaye looks to be the main danger, a previous course and distance winner just last month. However, this was her first win in over a year and a 3lbs rise for a win by just a neck means she will likely find todays’ race a little tougher.
Another to consider is Mickey Haller who has improved in each of his three runs so far and is partnered today by the soon-to-be retiring Hayley Turner. The partnership will no doubt prove popular with punters but in truth Hayley has had a difficult last year and with a strike rate of just 10% she cannot be relied upon to make the difference.
New Strategy (WIN)