top of page

PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY)

15:00 Chelmsford A race that could see a Godolphin 1-2 with their two runners prominent in the betting however at the time of writing it is the one at a bigger price I prefer. Lusory did well to win on debut overcoming his inexperience and especially with being from the Charlie Appleby yard whose debutants tends to be better on the second run. The form doesn’t look too bad with a number of horses in behind winning. He bumped into a good filly at Newmarket that was given an enterprising front running ride then at Doncaster found an improving Central Square too good. He does look to race a bit lazily at times, so the application of cheekpieces might spark something in him. Adam Kirby on board is someone who knows how to tactically take a race by the scruff of its neck, so this son of Shamardal looks the one to beat. Very Talented has shown his best form on his last two starts with two thirds next to his name. At Ascot he bumped into Martyn Meade’s Acclaim, who has won twice since and is now rated 114, then at Newmarket he led home his group in the Cambridgeshire and possibly hinted that an extra furlong would suit. Given that he can go to the front early in his races then William Carson may do that here and on some days this can be a track suited by that sort of style. Four year old Raising Sand has been in the form of his life and has progressed through the grades this term. Since winning his maiden in June Jamies Osborne’s charge has won three of his last five starts including his last two. He stays on well in his races to suggest the step up from a mile that would suit and the handicapper has given him a chance by only putting him up 2lb for the Haydock success 12-days ago. A big player but will have to be smart out of the gates from stall 11. Lusory (WIN)

16:20 Nottingham This 17-runner five furlong handicap has plenty of runners coming here in form and one of them looks worth siding with here. That is Bahamian Sunrise, who still looks well treated on the back of a good win at Brighton 13-days ago. The way that race panned out with a strong pace suggested he could have more to offer and given the way he galloped through the line hinted he could complete the hat trick for John Gallagher. He’ll look to race prominently, if not lead, and with Jordan Vaughan taking 5lb off it looks to enhance his claims. Storm Melody won well at Bath when last seen and was put up 6lb for that victory. That was a 16-runner field, so he’ll have no issue with the hustle and bustle of this type of race. He removal of headgear seemed to help that day and Jonjo O’Neill’s charge isn’t easily passed over. Sir Theodore is interesting back over the course and distance of his last win. He seems to enjoy it at Nottingham, and given the cheekpieces are applied I think he could outrun his lofty odds. The other runner to look at is Billyoakes. This four year old hasn’t won since October 2014 when winning off a mark of 79 when with Mick Channon. He was more recently with David Barron where he showed little before another change of scenery. Now in the care of Charlie Wallis and it has seen an upturn in performances without him getting his head in front. He’s ran a string of good races of late and was a close fourth behind Bahamian Sunrise at Sandown two starts ago. He was beaten a length over track and trip when last appearing and once again the handicapper has given him a chance by dropping him 1lb. With the way he finished that race then he looks worth having onside here. Bahamian Sunrise (E/W) Billyoakes (E/W)

19:30 Dundalk This 45-65 Handicap is quite a tight on and the top weights look most likely to strike over the six furlong trip. Strategic Force is joint top weight and he ran well here on his last start over a furlong shorter. He was drawn in stall 11 that day and the wider draws here at Dundalk tend to be most disadvantaged. All of his best form has come over this trip but he hasn’t won since December 2014 when in the care of Clive Cox. He’s slipping down the weights and is likely to be on the premises. The other runner carrying the top weight of 10st is last year’s winner Hatton Cross. Wayne Lordan is back on board, as he was last year and he has been in the plate on two occasions when this seven year old has won. You can forgive him by the run at Cork when last seen over a mile trip, which seems to stretch his stamina. Now back a trip he relishes, as shown by efforts at Limerick, Fairyhouse and Down Royal over the last month or so. He’s drawn in stall two, which is ideal, so is a key player. John James Fearne’s charge Cappadocia’s last two wins have been over course and distance but they’ve been off marks in the 40’s. He’s off 59 here meaning this six year old needs a career best. He ran well off 1lb lower at Cork in August but could be in the grip of the handicapper. One of Mo Henry’s better recent efforts came at Ayr off this mark when narrowly beaten by Intisaab, who has kept improving this summer. Danny Sheehy claims 10lb off his back and he does have a Dundalk win to his name. Hatton Cross (E/W if 9/2+)

Коментарі


bottom of page