PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY)

14:15 Yarmouth The first race on the yard at Yarmouth has a few interesting newcomers plus a couple of exciting prospects we’ve already seen. One we’ve seen on the track is Via Serendipity and the race should revolve around his chances following his third in the Convivial at York. He pulled hard in the early stages but travelled well and was arguably the last one off the bridle. The winner Rivet, won the Group 2 Champagne Stakes on Saturday boosting that form. It was a taking debut by this son of Invincible Spirit, who looked a winner in waiting. Hugo Palmer’s string is in good form plus Jim Crowley will be after winners in a bid to secure the Champion Jockeys title. Hyde Park and Calibration have more experience. The former has been had three runs and a mark of 87, which might be on the high side, so the handicapper isn’t taking any chances. He’s been a beaten favourite twice and the cheekpieces today show he isn’t the most straightforward. Calibration seems to run a little lazily and slightly improved for the extra furlong last time. This colt is likely to be a better three year old over a trip, so is one to keep an eye on. Sir Michael Stoute has two newcomers with Highland Cradle and Karawaan, both of whom have decent pedigrees. The latter is very well related including to a two year old Listed winner in the shape of Rajeem, so has the potential to be a decent juvenile. Via Serendipity (WIN)

16:10 Listowel The middle leg of today’s piece is the Kerry National over three miles at Listowel and it’s bound to be a test of stamina with conditions on the heavy side. Gordon Elliot is well represented and when looking at his runners you look for the runner with Jack Kennedy on board, as that is likely to be first choice. Killer Crow is the one in this race and he does have course form having won a bumper here back in 2014. He’ll relish these conditions and according to Patrick Mullins he’s a future stayer – to which there have been glimpses. He travelled well for a long way in the Irish Grand National before finishing seventh. His last effort was over hurdles and he was staying on well in the closing stages, so is a player returning to chasing. Mouse Morris won this race last year with Rogue Angel and he saddles Folsom Blue, who must have a fantastic chance. He’s been in races over further than this without much luck, including the Scottish National when brought down. He was third in a Grand National trial then fourth in the Irish National, so he does have stamina, plus three of his four career wins have been on heavy ground. Personally the drop back in trip could help him today with them likely to go a good gallop. It wouldn’t be a race without a Ruby Walsh and Willie Mullins entry. That goes to Ballycasey, who unseated two from home in the Grand National back in April. However my concern would be the weight – no horse has carried over 11st 3lb to win this race in the last ten years. Keep an eye out for non-runners because Kylecrue shouldn’t be dismissed if getting into the race despite carrying an 8lb penalty for his success here three days ago. He’ll handle the conditions and enjoys it at this track. Folsom Blue (E/W)

16:40 Beverley Division II of this five furlong handicap is as tricky as the first division but there is one that has some upside that we could capitalise on. That runner is Eric Alston’s charge Acclaim The Nation, who got off the mark over track and trip back in July. The formbook doesn’t show his two handicap efforts in their true light. At Chester he finished sixth and that was a good effort considering he was posted out in the widest stall meaning Jason Hart had to ride him forward to get a track position but he couldn’t find in the closing stages. The first four home in that race are rated in the 80s, so off a mark of 73 in this race could underestimate him. Mininggold is another course and distance winner. That success came two starts ago when winning in good style off and if the weather remains dry then the firmer quicker ground will give her a very good chance. She has had a few excuses this season with rain softened ground and not handling the surface at Newcastle plus not getting a clear run on her last start. She does her winning at this time of the year, so is a player. Three year old’s don’t have a particularly good record in this race, so four year old Astrophysics could be one to focus on with his slowly progressive profile. His only win came when with David Elsworth but there were signs of a race in him when a close second at Musselburgh on the last day. If running to the same level as 12 days ago then he could threaten off this mark of 70. Acclaim The Nation (E/W if 9/2+)

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