Early favourite Free To Love has an excellent record here at Bath having won twice and placed twice from five runs. Both placed efforts came in her last two runs and she runs off the same mark again today, however has to concede weight to all her rivals here which makes me feel she may have to settle for minor honours again.
Preference is for Nags Wag who won on her only previous visit here and has a 50% winning strike rate over todays’ trip. Furthermore, she has performed with credit in higher grade races than she encounters here and has won two from three when racing in class 5’s.
Others deserving a mention include Glastonberry who is proven over trip but despite her reducing mark is still 4lbs above her last winning mark on turf, while Staintondale Lass is also proven over the trip but will need to improve on her first attempt on turf.
Nags Wag (WIN)
Papa Luigi arrives here in great form having won his last three and it would be no surprise if he were to go close again today. However, this represents a step up in class and a further 8lbs rise will obviously make things tougher so there doesn’t look to be much value in the early prices.
Dark Shot finally got off the mark last time out, winning his first race in ten attempts by six lengths. Prior to this he had posted a number of solid runs in defeat so cannot be dismissed entirely, although his win came on heavy ground and his best efforts have all come on ground with more cut then he will encounter here.
With concerns over the two market principles I am going to take a chance on George Bakers’ runner Kassia. She only has a 2lbs rise to contend with following a course and distance win last time out where she beat Emerald Loch who has gone on to win since. With three career wins from eight she knows what it takes to get her nose in front and looks a decent price considering the small field.
Qaffaal has won two of his last four but could only manage second last time out and, if taking into account the jockey change means a loss of claim, he is effectively 7lbs worse off today.
Talent Scout posted an improved effort when second last time out but now hasn’t won in two years, while Tanawar has also been running consistently without being quite good enough and doesn’t have the best of records either here at Beverley or over todays’ trip.
Shamahart could prove to be a big danger having posted a win and two placed efforts in his last three runs. He has placed in 50% off all runs at Beverley, however is yet to get his nose in front when racing here and may have to settle for a place again today.
Relight My Fire is a four-time course and distance winner, won this race in 2013 and has been performing with credit in slightly better races than this in recent weeks (placing twice over course and distance). With the forecast ground sure to be in his favour and having won off higher marks in the past, he looks to be a solid each way option in a competitive looking race.
Relight My Fire (E/W if 9/2+)