PADDOCKS PATENT (TUESDAY)

14:20 Yarmouth Trainer David Simcock has a great record of ten wins from twenty-one over the last twelve months here at Yarmouth and only sends one runner here today. Vista Steppe had her best run to date last time out, on her first attempt over six furlongs, to finish four lengths behind the eventual winner. Although only sixth, the winner won at listed level next time out and both third and fourth have won over the last couple of days so i’m happy to take a chance at early each way odds that she can continue progressing and add to her trainers excellent strike rate here. Jet Setter will likely be of interest for many as jockey Ryan Moore, who boasts a 31% winning strike rate over the last three years at the course, takes over in the saddle. A first time hood helped to eke out some improvement last time out but was still well held in fourth and it remains to be seen if the step up from the minimum trip will bring about further improvement. Others to consider include Party Tiger who was a decent winner on heavy ground at Hamilton last time out but whose stable seem to be struggling for winners at the moment, and Erissimus Maximus who won over course and distance on penultimate run but has only encountered good-to-firm ground and could only manage fifth off his new mark last time out. Vista Steppe (WIN)

15:10 Exeter On recent form it would appear difficult to recommend Caulfields Venture, the current outsider of the eight strong field, given that he has been pulled up on four of his last seven runs. However, He has won all three previous attempts over course and distance, has won on seasonal debut for the last three seasons, and won this race off just a 1lbs lower mark last year. Trainer E Lavelle has won the last two renewals of this race and has a 35% winning strike rate over the last three years over fences here at Exeter and jockey D Jacob boasts level stakes profit of £25.54 to a £1 stake when riding for E Lavelle over the last twelve months and early best odds of around 10/1 have dropped to around 6/1 at the time of writing, hopefully suggesting a big run is in the offing. Wizards Bridge is another course and distance winner and has made the frame in five from eleven over a three mile trip. He looked firmly in the handicappers’ grip when last seen earlier in the year, but arrives here 3lbs lower than his course and distance victory so has to be considered. Of the remainder Rock Of Leon looks the most likely to challenge, arriving here looking to follow up a recent course and distance win and notch up his hat-trick in the process, although has been raised 4lbs and this looks tougher. Caulfields Venture (WIN)

20:40 Kempton Ride The Lightning is the early market leader and has newly crowned champion jockey Jim Crowley in the saddle. He is yet to win in eleven career runs and didn’t perform the last time he encountered the Kempton track but has posted a couple of placed efforts at Wolves and is not without a chance. Top Diktat notched up a four timer in early 2014, two of which came here at Kempton, but has only won once since. As a result he is now on a mark just 2lbs higher than when his winning run began but has only won once from seven over todays trip and his last few runs have been largely disappointing. Mystikana won on only previous attempt on an all-weather surface and looks an interesting runner here. Although upped 6lbs she ran well for a long way at Bath last week and was just about ahead with a furlong to go, only to be bumped by the winner before being eased off to finally finish fourth. Back on an artificial surface and down slightly in trip she could be the answer in a tricky looking race. Of the remainder, Bamako Du Chatelet has disappointed the last twice but has dropped 2lbs and won twice at Lingfield earlier in the year so could bounce back to form now returning to the all-weather. Mystikana (E/W if 9/2+)

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