PADDOCKS PATENT (THURSDAY)

14:40 Goodwood We start with a tough little class two handicap over seven furlongs. Four off these come with a win last time but the favourite is Fiftyshadesofgrey. The Dark Angel four year old was unlucky on his reappearance when going down a nose. He made swift amends with a course and distance win just under three weeks ago. That was a very taken performance winning going away at the line. The yard are in flying form and Pat Cosgrave gets on well with this horse. Another bold bid from this revised mark can be expected.

Plenty of dangers, Beach Bar can go well for jockey Luke Morris, still below his highest mark and was within six lengths off the winter derby winner Tryster. That horse is now rated 110. Beach Bar is rated four pounds lower than that day. He looks overpriced receiving weight all round. His collateral form is very strong and hopefully that confidence booster will bring some more improvement.

God Willing is the other main danger, however this horse has failed to win since success first time up in a decent maiden. He has dropped down the weights but still shoulders top weight here. I was disappointed he couldn’t win a Chelmsford race an his last start and is overlooked. Beach Bar (E/W)

16:35 Ayr Up to Scotland for our next selection and in truth the favourite looks the one to beat and is un-opposable. Roayh hacked up last time out and looks well treated under a penalty. While his price is skimpy I just can’t have him beat in this class.

Connor Beasley takes over in the plate and this young jockey is very talented and does well with these horses. The more rain the better for this seven year old. His previous win already has a solid look about it with an unplaced horse running well next time out.

The only danger to me is Funding Deficit. A nice seasonal debut last time out he should come on for the run and is a consistent enough sort to run well in this sort of race. The trainer also has an excellent strike rate at this track. Roayh (WIN)

18:40 Nottingham Last selection comes in a sprint class five event. Lexington Place ran at Ripon on Monday and was in truth unlucky not too win. He started slow and got blocked at a key stage. Out again so quickly, compensation awaits. Ruth Carr is very good with her sprinters. He is on a very good mark and Jimmy Sullivan is back in the plate. All the signs point to a win for Lexington Place.

Bashiba and Storm Lightening look the biggest dangers. The former needs to prove that this mark isn’t beyond him while may not handle the cut in the ground.

State Of The Union is probably the biggest danger. Claimer Josh Doyle is booked and visor is reached for the first time. That said I can’t see by Lexington Place to not be involved in the finish. Lexington Place (E/W if 5/1+)

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