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14:15 Lingfield
Likely favourite Boru’s Brook was last seen in January at Plumpton where, attempting hurdles for the first time, he was an impressive sixteen length winner. Running over the same trip and with similar ground conditions he should be tough to beat if arriving here today in the same frame of mind.
Rude And Crude’s first run over hurdles was over twenty one furlongs where he ran and jumped well for a long way before tiring when three from home. Over todays’ shorter trip and with improvement expected and confidence and experience grows, he could prove to be the main danger to the favourite.
None of the other runners inspire much confidence although Iniesta has managed to finish fourth on both previous attempts over hurdles and Geordieshore has two placed efforts to his name prior to attempting hurdling.
Boru’s Brook (WIN)
15:25 Carlisle
Vinny Gambini is a course and distance winner over hurdles and has a career win rate of 28%. He is yet to win over fences (both previous wins came over hurdles) but he has shown enough potential to suggest he has the ability to be winning a race over larger obstacles sooner rather than later.
Romany Ryme, Benny’s Well and Billys Cuckoo are all previous course and distance winners with Romany Ryme looking the strongest of the three. He has a 50% strike rate for finishes in the first three and his only career win came here in December.
Another Mattie has a bit of a point to prove having only completing one race from three over fences but has placed on six occasions from ten when racing over hurdles so has to be considered if he can convert that form over fences.
Vinny Gambini (WIN)
16:10 Wolverhampton
The early favourite for our final race is Zac Brown who has a 40% win rate on an all-weather surface. He won at Chelmsford City last month but then failed to follow up at Southwell (finishing only fourth, behind the re-opposing Royal Bajan) and has been raised another 4lbs for his troubles.
Boom The Groom is another who will likely be in the mix but has failed to follow up on a recent win. With a 75% strike rate for finishing in the first two places on the all-weather he is difficult to ignore but a chance is taken on Masamah.
Masamah hasn’t been seen since August but a six month break shouldn’t prove to be a problem as he has won on the back of a similar break in the past. He is also racing off a lower mark than he has won off previously and has only failed to finish in the first three in one of his five runs on an all-weather surface.
Masamah (E/W if 5/1+)
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