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15:00 Goodwood

Looking at recent trends for this suggests a well fancied runner will likely come out on top as the last eight winners have all returned at single figure odds. Regardless of whether you follow such trends and/or information is down to personal taste although taking on likely market leader, Fearby, looks a rather thankless task. Fairly impressive when winning at Wetherby was bettered in no uncertain terms at Sandown last time, where he appeared to relish the good to soft ground when hacking up by five lengths. Today's softer going would be the only real question although he is impossible to take on and is selected to rattle off the hat-trick.

Chipotle won the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot before running a rather lifeless race last time at Newbury. Strictly speaking, he would appear the biggest form threat to the favourite though all of his form is on much quicker ground and these conditions leave him with plenty to prove.

Kaboo ran a cracker behind Chipotle on debut at Royal Ascot but proved rather disappointing behind Fearby at Sandown the time after. A fairly imposing type, my mind strongly suggests he will get better in time and he could turn out to be the best of these next year. All that being said, he has plenty to prove on these terms and could only be afforded respect on the basis he could well run into a place.

Chimgan attracted strong market support and duly delivered the goods when scoring cheekily on debut at Nottingham. The bare form of that race definitely needs improving upon here although it wasn't a bad race and he is comfortably one of the more interesting outsiders.

Boonie showed bright early speed and could enjoy an easy time of things up front and Armor is probably better than his fifth at Ascot, however, pretty much all of these are relying upon a misfire from likely favourite, Fearby.


written by Chris Connolly


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