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13:30 Ludlow
The feature race at Ludlow is a two-mile handicap hurdle for the mares where Miranda will start a very strong favorite. She is clearly the class horse in the race having taken the Grade 2 Yorkshire Rose earlier this year. She also won this race last year and is sure to go well again here despite having to give a lot of weight away. Angus Cheleda takes off a very useful 5lbs to help in that respect.
Another in-form mare who is sure to give her running is the Donald McCain trained See The Sea. She was very impressive in her only visit to the Shropshire track although she is now weighted to her best and will need a career best performance to take this contest.
Cotton End was only beaten six lengths in this contest last year and has a big weight swing with the winner based on that performance and is massively overpriced at the current odds. She acts on the ground and is herself a course and distance winner that can go well each way at a good price in a race which is likely to be run at a decent gallop to suit her.
14:00 Ludlow
Outonpatrol and Switch Hitter will renew their rivalry in this fascinating race. Outonpatrol has never been beat around Ludlow while Switch Hitter produced a much-improved effort tackling a longer distance last time out. Outonpatrol gets a 2lb swing at the weights for that beating but it might be unlikely that this will reverse the form as it seems that Switch Hitter had more in hand that day and was always doing enough to win.
Forgottoask has been in the first three on ten of his sixteen chase starts and its unlikely that he will be too far off the premises although he is weighted to his best and would seemingly need a step forward to take this contest.
I am siding with Switch Hitter to take this contest for the in-form Paul Nicholls yard and to give Bryony Frost a winner with her only ride of the day.
14:15 Musselburgh
This is a Class 3 hurdle race for the stayers and promises to be a very intriguing affair. Wakool hasn’t been out of the frame for over a year now but steps up in class today and may just come up short against some better rivals. Bootlegger has also been running some fine races since returning from his break although the handicapper does just seem to be always a step ahead of him and he carries enough weight for the moment.
The answer in this contest may be One Night In Milan. He had been running some decent races on the flat since returning from his break and then last time out, ran a very good race over a distance that would not have been ideal for him now. The winner of that race has since won again impressively, and it bodes well that arguably his best race came over this course and distance on similar ground to what he will race on today just under two years ago and would be fantastic value at his current odds.
written by Tom Bates
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