I’m a massive fan of Tracey Collins, especially with her runners here on the artificial surface at Dundalk and she’s set to send out PLUM PERFECT. The four year olds all-weather form is fantastic with a win and two seconds from four starts, all of which came over course and distance. After some mediocre efforts on the turf she returns to her last winning mark and at a decent price I reckon she’s worth a a punt.
There’s a couple of non-runners now which makes the fact I like two in this race somewhat bemusing but I can’t ignore either.
The more fancied of the two, according to the bookmakers, is CAPPELLA LIATH who represents the yard of Gerard Keane. With Colin booked for the ride and as the lightly raced three year old makes his seven furlong debut I’m hoping this new trip could be the making of him.
At a much bigger price I reckon ALTERNO could do much better than their odds suggest. It’s very very intriguing to see this eight year old not only return to the flat but also return to the all-weather. I understand that he’s an eleven race maiden on the flat but to see him tackling a seven furlong race is very intriguing. The shortest trip he’s ever tackled is 10 furlongs and his best flat performance came when finishing fourth here at Dundalk. He’s been campaigned over hurdles most recently so to switch to such a different contest is mightily intriguing and is worth a small stakes bet if connections have planned this very obscure move.
My NAP of the day is a former course and distance winner who’s now rated 24lb’s lower than his last winning mark. GUANABARA BAY was trained by Adrian McGuinness back in November 2018 but switched to two different yards before returning to McGuinness’s yard earlier this year. That’s a solid move considering the horse didn’t even place for either trainers in that interim period. Colin Keane’s booked for the ride which is an obvious positive and at a solid each way price he’s hard to ignore.
The penultimate race on the card sees a quartet of former course winners but I’m going against them to side with a horse who’s not finished in the top half of any of their four career starts. I understand that it potentially makes it difficult to convince you to side with DONOCH but bare with me. The horse has raced twice over seven furlongs and also five furlongs earlier in the month. He was woeful in all three of those runs and showed a glimmer of hope when seventh at Cork over a mile. The fact that he now jumps all the way up to 1m4f makes him very intriguing and although he will need to improve markedly I’ll take a chance on a horse that could spring a shock.
Unlike the last race where I ignored all former course winners I like two Dundalk victors in the final race here.
SLEEPY HEAD has shown little in two turf starts this season but that was after a near 500 day absence from racing. She should be much fitter for those latest performances and a return to the all-weather is a definite plus. The seven year old enjoys the artificial surface with six top three finishes from fifteen course starts. I understand she’s yet to win over this trip but she has placed twice over 1m4f so don’t let that put you off.
The other of my duo is a horse who will be carrying a jockey in similar silks with NO TROUBLE a horse who should also be relieved to return to the all-weather and even though he’s a couple of pounds higher than his last winning mark, at the age of four he should have some room to improve and I’m happy to ignore that additional weight now he’s back at Dundalk.