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18:00 Sandown
Dawn View is towards the head of the betting and she probably deserves to be on the basis of her last three starts. She was denied the trifecta last time out but she wasn’t beaten far. She has the highest speed figure in the race and a relatively low weight. Moreover, Marco Ghiani is in flying form of late. However, she has never ran at Sandown, which is quite a concern, and she’s had rather a lot of races this year.
C’Mon Kenny is certainly an intriguing favourite. His sole victory came over two miles, in a bumper race, at Ludlow. He then finished second in another bumper at Ludlow before dropping down to a mile and a half and further to 7 and a half furlongs, for his next races. He seemed to be outpaced in all of those, however there are excuses as he stayed on from a mile back on his last start. He’s stepped up to 1 mile and 2 furlongs today, which will help. He’s a strong favourite and, distance forgiving, he stands a very good chance at winning.
The aforementioned favourite is currently a short price and i’d rather try to find some value, so I’ve decided to go with an each way selection to take him on. Broad Appeal was 40/1 when I first looked at this race and he’s nearly halved in value whilst I’ve been writing it. He was second in this race last year, beaten a neck, and that was a tougher race than this years renewal. Granted he has a larger weight, which isn’t ideal, but Tyler Saunders takes 3 lbs off. Moreover, he’s won off this mark before so it isn’t a complete disadvantage. Jonathan Portman clearly enjoys this race and has a decent record at Sandown and thinks that Broad Appeal is good enough to come back and have another crack at the race. His first two races this year can be forgiven and being restless in the stalls didn’t help him at Newbury. If he can find the form that lead him to second in this race last year, he can be a major player.
BROAD APPEAL (E/W)
written by Kieran McHugh